bindas74
06-10 12:50 PM
As per this everyone who got pre-adjudicated would be receiving their GC in FY2010. But, there are people from EB3I with PD as late as 2007 who got RFEs recently and got their cases pre-adjudicated( I am one of them even though my PD is March 2003 and when I called up NSC, they said my case was pre-adjudicated and waiting for a Visa number ).
With EB3I staying at 1 Nov 2001 when the new FY2010 quota starts in October doesnt match to what Ron Gotcher says.
Anyone have any opinion?
http://imminfo.com/Newsletter/2009-AILA/Likely_visa_bulletin_cutoff_date_movement.html
Likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement
Information provided at the 2009 AILA Annual Conference gives us some insight into likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement over the next year. Historically, the INS/CIS have treated filing backlog information as a matter of national security - refusing to release any information. Recently, however, cracks have started to appear in that wall.
We know that the 2007 filing surge resulted in an enormous number of cases submitted to the CIS. The actual number of new I-485s filed is unknown, but estimates range from 350,000 to 500,000. We also know that the CIS, having the fear of God put into them by the State Department in 2007, finally increased their level of production and began adjudicating cases at a pace sufficient to use up each year's quota and not waste any allocated visa numbers through non-use.
At this year's conference, the CIS representatives made several statements which, if true, give us hope for a return to sanity soon. They alleged that they have completed enough EB I-485 cases this year to exhaust the EB quota (140,000). They also alleged that they will soon have completed the "pre-adjudication" of another "110,000 to 120,000" cases to be used against the quota for the next fiscal year (Oct. 1, 2009 - Sept. 30, 2010). Finally, they represented that these adjudication would "pretty much exhaust" the inventory of pending EB I-485 cases at the TSC and NSC.
If these statements are true, then the end of the current mess is in sight.
If the CIS really has wiped out its processing backlog, then when the "pre-adjudicated" cases are given visa numbers in the next fiscal year, cutoff dates should advance rapidly. At a minimum, we should see them return to February 2007 levels, if not closer.
Implicit in this recital of statistics by the CIS personnel is the likelihood that they denied a truly massive number of pending I-485 applications. Before anyone panics, those denials should have been sent out already and are not out there just waiting to ruin someone's day. Only by assuming a very large number of denials does the math make any sense. Without them, you cannot reconcile the large volume of filings with the volume of approvals.
Once these pending cases are closed out, the known "demand" for EB visas will be much smaller and the Visa Office will be able to move priority dates up quickly; in some cases by years.
Another factor to be taken into account is the number of people who have lost their jobs between August 17, 2007 and whenever the cutoff dates cross that chronological line again. In years past, if there were 100,000 applicants with priority dates between August, 2007 and today, we could expect to see at least 90,000 applications. Today, with the economy being what it is, I think the figure is probably closer to 50,000. These are all people who were not eligible for AC21 because they had not filed for adjustment of status. If true, this means that cutoff dates will advance more rapidly than normal after the "2007 deluge" cases are resolved.
Of course, all of this becomes academic if CIR is passed. In that case, all priority dates will become "current" overnight and remain that way for years.
The State Department official at the AILA conference said that we can likely expect to see the following cutoff dates in the October, 2009 Visa Bulletin:
EB2 Worldwide: Current
EB2 China and India: Outlook is "grim" and there may be further retrogressions until later in the fiscal year.
EB3 Worldwide: June 1, 2005
EB3 China: March 1, 2003
EB3 India: November 1, 2001
EB3 Mexico: March 1, 2003
These estimates are just that - estimates. They are, however, estimates from the Department of State.
Where numbers move after October 1st will depend entirely upon the demand presented by the CIS. If, in fact, they have pre-adjudicated as many as 120,000 EB AOS cases, then it is unlikely that we will see much additional forward movement until the fourth quarter of the fiscal year (July - Sept., 2010). As discussed previously, however, once we get over this large bump in the road next year, we can expect to see a rapid advance in cutoff date movement.
Copyright � 2009 The Gotcher Law Group, PC - All Rights Reserved
With EB3I staying at 1 Nov 2001 when the new FY2010 quota starts in October doesnt match to what Ron Gotcher says.
Anyone have any opinion?
http://imminfo.com/Newsletter/2009-AILA/Likely_visa_bulletin_cutoff_date_movement.html
Likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement
Information provided at the 2009 AILA Annual Conference gives us some insight into likely Visa Bulletin cutoff date movement over the next year. Historically, the INS/CIS have treated filing backlog information as a matter of national security - refusing to release any information. Recently, however, cracks have started to appear in that wall.
We know that the 2007 filing surge resulted in an enormous number of cases submitted to the CIS. The actual number of new I-485s filed is unknown, but estimates range from 350,000 to 500,000. We also know that the CIS, having the fear of God put into them by the State Department in 2007, finally increased their level of production and began adjudicating cases at a pace sufficient to use up each year's quota and not waste any allocated visa numbers through non-use.
At this year's conference, the CIS representatives made several statements which, if true, give us hope for a return to sanity soon. They alleged that they have completed enough EB I-485 cases this year to exhaust the EB quota (140,000). They also alleged that they will soon have completed the "pre-adjudication" of another "110,000 to 120,000" cases to be used against the quota for the next fiscal year (Oct. 1, 2009 - Sept. 30, 2010). Finally, they represented that these adjudication would "pretty much exhaust" the inventory of pending EB I-485 cases at the TSC and NSC.
If these statements are true, then the end of the current mess is in sight.
If the CIS really has wiped out its processing backlog, then when the "pre-adjudicated" cases are given visa numbers in the next fiscal year, cutoff dates should advance rapidly. At a minimum, we should see them return to February 2007 levels, if not closer.
Implicit in this recital of statistics by the CIS personnel is the likelihood that they denied a truly massive number of pending I-485 applications. Before anyone panics, those denials should have been sent out already and are not out there just waiting to ruin someone's day. Only by assuming a very large number of denials does the math make any sense. Without them, you cannot reconcile the large volume of filings with the volume of approvals.
Once these pending cases are closed out, the known "demand" for EB visas will be much smaller and the Visa Office will be able to move priority dates up quickly; in some cases by years.
Another factor to be taken into account is the number of people who have lost their jobs between August 17, 2007 and whenever the cutoff dates cross that chronological line again. In years past, if there were 100,000 applicants with priority dates between August, 2007 and today, we could expect to see at least 90,000 applications. Today, with the economy being what it is, I think the figure is probably closer to 50,000. These are all people who were not eligible for AC21 because they had not filed for adjustment of status. If true, this means that cutoff dates will advance more rapidly than normal after the "2007 deluge" cases are resolved.
Of course, all of this becomes academic if CIR is passed. In that case, all priority dates will become "current" overnight and remain that way for years.
The State Department official at the AILA conference said that we can likely expect to see the following cutoff dates in the October, 2009 Visa Bulletin:
EB2 Worldwide: Current
EB2 China and India: Outlook is "grim" and there may be further retrogressions until later in the fiscal year.
EB3 Worldwide: June 1, 2005
EB3 China: March 1, 2003
EB3 India: November 1, 2001
EB3 Mexico: March 1, 2003
These estimates are just that - estimates. They are, however, estimates from the Department of State.
Where numbers move after October 1st will depend entirely upon the demand presented by the CIS. If, in fact, they have pre-adjudicated as many as 120,000 EB AOS cases, then it is unlikely that we will see much additional forward movement until the fourth quarter of the fiscal year (July - Sept., 2010). As discussed previously, however, once we get over this large bump in the road next year, we can expect to see a rapid advance in cutoff date movement.
Copyright � 2009 The Gotcher Law Group, PC - All Rights Reserved
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Lisap
08-22 11:53 AM
You said your employer sent it by mistake on the 27th? Were you not current in June?
logiclife
04-03 10:56 AM
Please ask your colleagues who are unaware of this that it takes a few clicks to send faxes to all 100 senators and number of faxes matter to emphasize the gravity of situation and widespread support to our cause.
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bestia
08-31 04:17 PM
should be taken with a huge grain of salt. The job of the media is to create sensationalism so that the news can be spread.
The general issues still are true.
Well, that's the job of the media. Our job is to get GC. Although the issues are true, I would still prefer having absolutely correct articles, so no anti-immigrant could point his/her finger saying "look, immigrants are spreading lies". Just like we bashed them when they were claiming that we pay less taxes. It was a good point to discredit them.
The general issues still are true.
Well, that's the job of the media. Our job is to get GC. Although the issues are true, I would still prefer having absolutely correct articles, so no anti-immigrant could point his/her finger saying "look, immigrants are spreading lies". Just like we bashed them when they were claiming that we pay less taxes. It was a good point to discredit them.
more...
waiting4gc
04-09 01:16 PM
Guys n Gals,
I feel your pain with regards to consulting firms, but do not blame them for your issues. I know quite a few people from top tier universities in India/US who work for consulting firms and make at least 2-3X times money than minimum required for h1b. What is wrong with working for consulting firms? Such over generalizations only display ignorance and I would advise you to stay away from it.
Best of luck with visa lottery. To alleviate your pain I think you should join hands with IV and try to make the GC process a lot faster that way you don't have to worry about H1 at all. If the provision of admin fixes where one gets to apply for 485 without visa numbers being available goes through, you can go directly from Student OPT to 485 EAD.
Guys.. i'm sick of this nonsense.. I mean this is ridiculous.. this is my second go around in this stupid lottery.. last year I hadn't graduated so they put me in the bachelors quota.. this year the freaking masters quota is full.. i have a genuine offer from one of the big 4 accounting firms.. and have work experience to back it up
i'm sick of these consultant firms.. i wish I could work for the uscis and weed out these miserable cheapsters.. 6 years toiling in their education system, paying the damn taxes, and waiting for 1 smart person to come along and tell them its time to take care of these consultant companies and their consultants who get the jobs based on deceit and conmanship..
simple non sense.. random selection .. my behind..
I really feel like sending flowers to the uscis similar to what the indian folks did last year..
I feel your pain with regards to consulting firms, but do not blame them for your issues. I know quite a few people from top tier universities in India/US who work for consulting firms and make at least 2-3X times money than minimum required for h1b. What is wrong with working for consulting firms? Such over generalizations only display ignorance and I would advise you to stay away from it.
Best of luck with visa lottery. To alleviate your pain I think you should join hands with IV and try to make the GC process a lot faster that way you don't have to worry about H1 at all. If the provision of admin fixes where one gets to apply for 485 without visa numbers being available goes through, you can go directly from Student OPT to 485 EAD.
Guys.. i'm sick of this nonsense.. I mean this is ridiculous.. this is my second go around in this stupid lottery.. last year I hadn't graduated so they put me in the bachelors quota.. this year the freaking masters quota is full.. i have a genuine offer from one of the big 4 accounting firms.. and have work experience to back it up
i'm sick of these consultant firms.. i wish I could work for the uscis and weed out these miserable cheapsters.. 6 years toiling in their education system, paying the damn taxes, and waiting for 1 smart person to come along and tell them its time to take care of these consultant companies and their consultants who get the jobs based on deceit and conmanship..
simple non sense.. random selection .. my behind..
I really feel like sending flowers to the uscis similar to what the indian folks did last year..
Harivinder
05-16 11:33 AM
I don't understand. The post above does not even include the bill for US masters STEM
I am kind of disappointed with the response to the idea of calling our respective University presidents knowing that there voice will be heard. All we need to do is convince the university presidents to speak for us?
I am kind of disappointed with the response to the idea of calling our respective University presidents knowing that there voice will be heard. All we need to do is convince the university presidents to speak for us?
more...
Devils_Advocate
07-22 12:05 AM
I have been following "Doggys" stuff and anti-anti blog for a while and know that he's not an anti for sure, and before anyone gets paranoid and accuses me of being "doggy" no sire i am not:p
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newuser
07-13 03:26 PM
Should we be worried about the DREAM ACT?
As far as I know dream act does not offer anything for legal kids. Its all about kids of undocumented workers.
I am not quite sure why should I support this bill. Unless this bill includes age out protections for legal kids or legal kids get the same benefits as kids of undocumented workers, I don't think many people would support this.
Please let me know if you know any provisions that help us or hurt us . I am open to change the mind ...
As far as I know dream act does not offer anything for legal kids. Its all about kids of undocumented workers.
I am not quite sure why should I support this bill. Unless this bill includes age out protections for legal kids or legal kids get the same benefits as kids of undocumented workers, I don't think many people would support this.
Please let me know if you know any provisions that help us or hurt us . I am open to change the mind ...
more...
trueguy
02-20 11:45 PM
Hi
Today I got a call from an officer in "immigration and customs enforcement" asking for an appointment to visit my residence for checing my immigration status.
I am on H1B visa.
I would appreciate if someone could give any sort of information related to calling for a home visit.
Thanks
Immigration office can come to your home to check on you if your application is family based, like spouse living together or not. But since you are on H1B, I don't know why would they come to your home. They should check with ur employer and do the verification.
This is just my opinion.
Today I got a call from an officer in "immigration and customs enforcement" asking for an appointment to visit my residence for checing my immigration status.
I am on H1B visa.
I would appreciate if someone could give any sort of information related to calling for a home visit.
Thanks
Immigration office can come to your home to check on you if your application is family based, like spouse living together or not. But since you are on H1B, I don't know why would they come to your home. They should check with ur employer and do the verification.
This is just my opinion.
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vban2007
07-22 11:50 AM
could you pls send the letter to me too...
more...
gc_on_demand
06-13 09:38 AM
Any update what will be next ?
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the
12-20 10:50 AM
At least some good news are arriving prior to the X'mas holiday! :p
This might have a huge impact on people who held a H4 b4 switching to H1B!
http://www.uscis.gov/files/pressrelease/PeriodsofAdm120506.pdf
This might have a huge impact on people who held a H4 b4 switching to H1B!
http://www.uscis.gov/files/pressrelease/PeriodsofAdm120506.pdf
more...
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sangmami
07-27 12:44 PM
Talked to an io at neb sc.within 5 sec of me starting to talk the ffice interuppted and she apologosed for doing that and said because of huge vol of appli there is a delay in the receipt notice.i SAID I AM july 2 nd filer and she said it might be in the first week of aug..(i had said the same thing in my earlier post too after i spoke toa diff officer)..She asked to keep checking the check clearnace.
Hope this helps
Thanks
Hope this helps
Thanks
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keepon
07-15 09:01 PM
would you please send to me too?
Many thanks!
Many thanks!
more...
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bekugc
12-28 04:19 PM
Omm,
as mammoy has indicated, if u quit before 140 approval, and u get RFE; if there is no employer cooperation ( for whatever reason) . u can be in trouble.
better stay with ur curent employer until it get approved. move if u have to to a different client; if u want to stay in ur existing client , try to negotiate if they can continue u on a lower billing rate. take a cut for now as long as its still above ur h1 prevailing wage etc.
as mammoy has indicated, if u quit before 140 approval, and u get RFE; if there is no employer cooperation ( for whatever reason) . u can be in trouble.
better stay with ur curent employer until it get approved. move if u have to to a different client; if u want to stay in ur existing client , try to negotiate if they can continue u on a lower billing rate. take a cut for now as long as its still above ur h1 prevailing wage etc.
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makemygc
08-10 12:15 PM
Perm filers hate LS guys as they went ahead of line...
Backlog guys hate Perm filers as they went ahead of line...
Eb3 guys hate EB3-EB2 conversion guys as they went ahead of line...
....and it goes on.
This shit never ends!!!:(
Strangely, everything is done within the scope of law!
Only person who is making sense here. Good analysis jambapamba.
Backlog guys hate Perm filers as they went ahead of line...
Eb3 guys hate EB3-EB2 conversion guys as they went ahead of line...
....and it goes on.
This shit never ends!!!:(
Strangely, everything is done within the scope of law!
Only person who is making sense here. Good analysis jambapamba.
more...
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kondur_007
08-11 09:32 PM
I am currently on H1B visa and I want to switch the company. New company is not willing to do H1B transfer and want me to work on EAD. I have pending I485 EB3 ROW with priority date of March 2006. Its been more than 180 days that I filed for I485 so I can use AC21 with EAD.
But my question is how risky will it be if I switch job at this stage with EAD?
Thanks in advance,
BK
I believe that this is a bit more complex issue and depends a lot on several specific details of your case. At times this is very safe to do and at other times it is "no no". At times it is advisable to inform USCIS and at other times not. It all depends on several specific factors (specifics of your case: details of LC, job title, duties, classification, salary, location etc etc).
Bottom line: Can't get/give answer on the forum. Definitely worth consulting a VERY GOOD attorney.
Good Luck.
But my question is how risky will it be if I switch job at this stage with EAD?
Thanks in advance,
BK
I believe that this is a bit more complex issue and depends a lot on several specific details of your case. At times this is very safe to do and at other times it is "no no". At times it is advisable to inform USCIS and at other times not. It all depends on several specific factors (specifics of your case: details of LC, job title, duties, classification, salary, location etc etc).
Bottom line: Can't get/give answer on the forum. Definitely worth consulting a VERY GOOD attorney.
Good Luck.
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cinqsit
09-16 08:35 PM
Is this a coincidence? Exactly after a month, I had my Green Card in hand. :D
Was it a case of pure divine intervention ? If you think it was... can you tell us your secret .....
just kidding ....
congratulations and enjoy your life !!!! and hope you will come to the forums often and help your fellow iv ocd member group ;-) ( i belong to that group unfortunately)
cinqsit
Was it a case of pure divine intervention ? If you think it was... can you tell us your secret .....
just kidding ....
congratulations and enjoy your life !!!! and hope you will come to the forums often and help your fellow iv ocd member group ;-) ( i belong to that group unfortunately)
cinqsit
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help_please
07-13 06:10 PM
Hi everyone,
I reviewed the text of the bill...and, to the best of my understanding, the Dream Act applies to both legal and illegal children. This bill is crucial for me. I am 27 years old and have been in the United States since age 1 (Yes, 26 years)...LEGALLY!!! My husband (i married another visa holder and changed my status about 5 years ago) and I have been pending for a greencard for about 2.5 years now (I'm not counting the other failed attempts)...and still no luck. I completed my bachelors degree in Psychology years ago and cannot work (my field of study is fairly common in the US...nobody I've come across was willing to sponsor for an h-1). Unfortunately, going back to my "home" county isn't an option for me because this is the only home I've ever known. Anyhow, I would really appreciate everyone's support...hopefully this piece of legislation can benefit people like myself and we can contribute to society as well. Thanks!! :)
I reviewed the text of the bill...and, to the best of my understanding, the Dream Act applies to both legal and illegal children. This bill is crucial for me. I am 27 years old and have been in the United States since age 1 (Yes, 26 years)...LEGALLY!!! My husband (i married another visa holder and changed my status about 5 years ago) and I have been pending for a greencard for about 2.5 years now (I'm not counting the other failed attempts)...and still no luck. I completed my bachelors degree in Psychology years ago and cannot work (my field of study is fairly common in the US...nobody I've come across was willing to sponsor for an h-1). Unfortunately, going back to my "home" county isn't an option for me because this is the only home I've ever known. Anyhow, I would really appreciate everyone's support...hopefully this piece of legislation can benefit people like myself and we can contribute to society as well. Thanks!! :)
nrk
10-27 11:20 AM
Hi Saileshdude,
Here are my responses
I see various possibilities. Best bet would be to take Infopass soon and find out.
1) DHS trying some new exercises which are completely new. I thought we had seen it all but this is a new one.
Ans: No idea o this.
2) Do you have any case against you (ciminal or civil) in your home country?
Ans: Never been to a police station here or any where (I mean to say no cases at all)
3) Did you have any unlawful status of more than 6 months during your presence in US.
Ans: Never
4) Do you have any case pending here?
Ans: No
5) Did you, in past, provide any fake documentation or info pertaining to any benefit you were seeking?
Ans: No.
Apart from this i have seen 3 cases in .com today all the cases were files a service request in TSC either on 10/14/2009 or 10/15/2009 resulted the same status.
nrk,
I see various possibilities. Best bet would be to take Infopass soon and find out.
1) DHS trying some new exercises which are completely new. I thought we had seen it all but this is a new one.
2) Do you have any case against you (ciminal or civil) in your home country?
3) Did you have any unlawful status of more than 6 months during your presence in US.
4) Do you have any case pending here?
5) Did you, in past, provide any fake documentation or info pertaining to any benefit you were seeking?
These are just few things that may cause this.
Do update us what you find out after Infopass.
Here are my responses
I see various possibilities. Best bet would be to take Infopass soon and find out.
1) DHS trying some new exercises which are completely new. I thought we had seen it all but this is a new one.
Ans: No idea o this.
2) Do you have any case against you (ciminal or civil) in your home country?
Ans: Never been to a police station here or any where (I mean to say no cases at all)
3) Did you have any unlawful status of more than 6 months during your presence in US.
Ans: Never
4) Do you have any case pending here?
Ans: No
5) Did you, in past, provide any fake documentation or info pertaining to any benefit you were seeking?
Ans: No.
Apart from this i have seen 3 cases in .com today all the cases were files a service request in TSC either on 10/14/2009 or 10/15/2009 resulted the same status.
nrk,
I see various possibilities. Best bet would be to take Infopass soon and find out.
1) DHS trying some new exercises which are completely new. I thought we had seen it all but this is a new one.
2) Do you have any case against you (ciminal or civil) in your home country?
3) Did you have any unlawful status of more than 6 months during your presence in US.
4) Do you have any case pending here?
5) Did you, in past, provide any fake documentation or info pertaining to any benefit you were seeking?
These are just few things that may cause this.
Do update us what you find out after Infopass.
chanduv23
10-10 11:05 AM
After folks start getting their EAD, God alone knows how many "New" desi bodyshopper's like this will spring up.
All those so called "Enterpreneurs" a.k.a desi bodyshoppers...Perhaps if someone started a company that actually makes something rather than just contracting....more jobs, more value...
I feel everyone of us has the potential to have such a vision...after all isn't this the land of opportunities
Perhaps it is wise only to dream....
H1b body shopping is not a proper business model, these people are utilizing the loophole in the skilled immigration system and making money and become rich overnight. Once the loophole is closed, they cannot survive. They do not have a business model or skill. Same goes with the Attorneys who associate with them. In fact it will get worse for those Attorneys as big companies only go to big law firms.
Those who worked hard in their career path will never resort to such business model.
What comes easily and fast also goes away easily and fast. Lets not worry much about them.
A lot of hard working skilled workers do work with consulting companies. These people must know how to deal with these companies.
I am contracting at a Startup - since its inception, I report directly to the company's boss. I see him go through so many things trying hard to beat competition, funding, road blocks, beurocracy, lobbying for clearances, marketing, it is extremely tough to come up with innovative business modal and then survive, but the best of the best survive and make it big. People learn quickly from mistakes and work their way up the ladder.
The bodyshoppers do not go through this, they have just sprung up in thousands, figured out it is easy money. They never realised that things change and they must know how to survive these changes - and most of them wont.
It would be interesting to see how Infy, Wipro etc... will do business when $ == 32 Rs, they will start looking for offshoring to African countries where $ is cheaper.
All those so called "Enterpreneurs" a.k.a desi bodyshoppers...Perhaps if someone started a company that actually makes something rather than just contracting....more jobs, more value...
I feel everyone of us has the potential to have such a vision...after all isn't this the land of opportunities
Perhaps it is wise only to dream....
H1b body shopping is not a proper business model, these people are utilizing the loophole in the skilled immigration system and making money and become rich overnight. Once the loophole is closed, they cannot survive. They do not have a business model or skill. Same goes with the Attorneys who associate with them. In fact it will get worse for those Attorneys as big companies only go to big law firms.
Those who worked hard in their career path will never resort to such business model.
What comes easily and fast also goes away easily and fast. Lets not worry much about them.
A lot of hard working skilled workers do work with consulting companies. These people must know how to deal with these companies.
I am contracting at a Startup - since its inception, I report directly to the company's boss. I see him go through so many things trying hard to beat competition, funding, road blocks, beurocracy, lobbying for clearances, marketing, it is extremely tough to come up with innovative business modal and then survive, but the best of the best survive and make it big. People learn quickly from mistakes and work their way up the ladder.
The bodyshoppers do not go through this, they have just sprung up in thousands, figured out it is easy money. They never realised that things change and they must know how to survive these changes - and most of them wont.
It would be interesting to see how Infy, Wipro etc... will do business when $ == 32 Rs, they will start looking for offshoring to African countries where $ is cheaper.
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